Research 2000 for Daily Kos (9/30-10/1):
Harry Teague (D): 47
Ed Tinsley (R): 43
(MoE: ±5%)
This poll comes on the heels of a Teague internal from earlier in September showing Tinsley trailing by five points. Of particular note is that Teague has better favorables (46-33) than Tinsley (40-37), and that Obama is only trailing McCain in this district by 49-42. To put that in perspective, this is the GOP’s lone stronghold in New Mexico — John Kerry lost this district by 17 points in 2004, and Gore by 11 four years earlier.
SSP currently rates this race as a Tossup.